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Main Slate Rundown 🏈

Another action-packed college football Saturday is here for Week 10! The DraftKings main slate features 12 games kicking off at noon ET, and that’s where our focus lies. FanDuel’s main slate includes 8 of the same matchups, so many of the insights here will translate across both platforms — just keep salary gaps in mind as DraftKings tends to be a bit softer on CFB pricing. Let’s dig in and find the best plays and lineup angles to attack this weekend’s slate. Best of luck!

To begin, let’s get a look at the 13 teams with a 25.5+ implied point total on this slate. These teams are generally in the best spot for offensive success this Saturday, so the majority of our preferred DFS plays will be found on these rosters:

Next up, we’ll mostly want limited-to-no exposure to teams that are expected to struggle to score 20+ points. These teams generally either find themselves completely out-matched versus their upcoming opponent, they don’t possess a capable offense, their matchup is expected to be a slow and low-scoring affair, or it’s some combination of those factors. Unless a specific player is priced down, has near-matchup-proof talent, and is guaranteed high volume, we should lean toward avoiding these four teams on the slate:

Obligatory: Vegas spreads and totals aren’t the be-all, end-all but they do give us a solid amount of information to use as our research ‘jump-off point’ on any given slate.

Main Slate Match-Ups

Week 10 Core Targets 🎯

QB Behren Morton, Texas Tech | $6,600 | at KSU

The QB position is rather weak on this slate, so it feels like a good spot to save some salary. Behren Morton is set to return from a leg injury that he sustained three weeks ago. It comes at a good time with backup QB Will Hammond, who had been filling in for Morton, going down to a season-ending ACL tear. In his first five starts this season, Morton averaged 282 pass YPG with a 12:3 YD:INT ratio. His one letdown start came against the Utah Utes, who boast the No. 7 pass defense in the country. Morton doesn’t offer much in the way of rushing upside, but, at $6,600, we don’t really need to do much beyond having a solid day through the air. Kansas State owns a very average pass defense that has allowed 22.4 FPPG to QBs this season.

RB Jeremiyah Love, Notre Dame | $9,000 | at BC

We’ll be saving salary at other positions this week, so Jeremiyah Love will step in as a primo spend-up. Love needs little introduction as one of the best offensive players in the country who will likely be the first RB off the board in next year’s NFL Draft. But he heads into the eighth game of the season averaging 136.4 scrimmage YPG on 20.4 touches/gm with 12 total TDs. There’s a strong chance this game turns into a blowout as the Irish are near-30-point favorites. But Love should still have himself a big day before this game gets too out of hand. Boston College has allowed over seven yards per touch and 1.5 TDs/gm to RBs over their last four games.

RB Myles Montgomery, UCF | $5,800 | at BAY

By CFB standards, we don’t have many high total games on this slate. This matchup between UCF and Baylor tops the slate with a 59.5 O/U, along with a close three-point spread, so we’ll want some exposure here. Jaden Nixon ($4,400) is the home run hitter in the UCF backfield, averaging a wild 12.7 YPC on the season, but he’s handled less than five carries per game. Myles Montgomery isn’t as flashy, but still averages a solid 5.2 YPC while handling 16.0 touches/gm. Baylor has boasted an excellent offense this year, but they’ve had one of the worst defenses in the FBS. Their run defense, in particular, has been a massive weakness. They rank 118th out of 136 FBS teams, allowing 190.5 rush YPG this season. They have also allowed 2.0 TDs/gm and 35.5 FPPG to RBs over their last four games. This feels like a favorable matchup for Montgomery to take on 20-25 carries as UCF looks to keep the dangerous Baylor offense off of the field. He’s only had one huge game this season, but it’s tough not to feel good about Montgomery’s upside this Saturday.

WR Antonio Williams, Clemson | $5,300 | vs. DUKE

Sophomore WR Bryant Wesco Jr. was having a breakout season and was one of the few bright spots in Clemson’s disappointing season. Unfortunately, Wesco suffered a serious neck injury after an awkward fall during a punt return in Clemson’s last game against SMU, and it will sideline him for the remainder of the season. That will thrust Antonio Williams into a larger role. Williams essentially missed the first three games of the season, but, since returning in week four, he has seen 7.3 targets/gm while averaging 13.9 FPPG. He hasn’t found the endzone just yet this season, but now that he’s due for more target volume, that will likely change sooner rather than later. Williams was Clemson’s leading receiver a season ago when he brought in 75 receptions for 904 yards and 11 TDs. Now that he should regain the WR1 role, he’s just too underpriced at $5,300, and, after missing one game, starting QB Cade Klubnik is expected to be back in action this Saturday.

WR Lewis Bond, Boston College | $4,200 | vs. ND

Boston College (13.0 implied points) is one of those offenses that we probably don’t want much to do with, but, in this case, we’re getting a high-volume receiver at a very cheap price point in a game that his team will almost certainly be playing from behind. Bond’s 56 receptions (7.0 rec/gm) are the 5th-most among all FBS receivers. He’s had five separate games where he has seen double-digit targets. It’s also not as if Notre Dame’s secondary has been lockdown. The 193.0 YPG that Notre Dame has allowed to WRs this season is the second-most on the slate. Bond is only averaging 9.6 yards per reception, and he has only found the endzone once this season, which came against Louisville in week nine. But, with DraftKings' full PPR scoring system, we don’t exactly need 100+ yards and a TD out of Bond to get some nice value out of him.

DraftKings Week 10 CFB Cheat Sheet 📝

Click the cheat sheet above to view a higher quality direct image.

Alternative Cheat Sheet Direct Image Link

🏈 Best of luck this Saturday! 🏈