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  • DraftKings CFB Core Plays & Cheat Sheet: Week #11 | Anticipating a High-Scoring Saturday! 🏈

DraftKings CFB Core Plays & Cheat Sheet: Week #11 | Anticipating a High-Scoring Saturday! 🏈

Week 11 Saturday College Football Cheat Sheet w/ Core Plays

By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter/LineStar Chat.

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Main Slate Rundown 🏈

Only a few big CFB Saturdays remain as we hit week 11 of the regular season! I say it just about every week, but the CFB season really does fly by. As George Strait once said, “[we’re] not here for a long time, [we’re] here for a good time.” More good times lie ahead this Saturday and, as usual, we’ll be placing our focus on the 12-game DraftKings main slate which will kick off at noon ET. The 14-game FanDuel main slate, which always includes a few games in the 7 o’clock ET window, will feature eight mutually shared games with the DK slate. Feel free to keep some of the recommended plays from this newsletter in mind if FanDuel is your CFB DFS site of choice (and the pricing makes sense)! Best of luck!

 

To begin, let’s get a look at the 18 teams with a 25.3+ implied point total on this slate (the books are expecting a high-scoring week for a ton of teams!). The majority of our preferred DFS plays will be found on these rosters:

On the flip side, we’ll want limited-to-no exposure to teams who are expected to struggle to score 20+ points. Unless a specific player is priced down, has near-match-up-proof talent, and is guaranteed high volume, we should lean toward avoiding these four teams on the slate:

Obligatory: Vegas spreads and totals aren’t the be-all, end-all but they do give us a solid amount of information to use as our research ‘jump-off point’ on any given slate.

Main Slate Match-Ups

Week 11 Core Plays 🎯

QB Shedeur Sanders, COL | $8,900 | at TTU

I wonder what will happen when the 11th most pass-happy offense (Colorado: 58.4% PassPlay%) meets the second-worst pass defense in the FBS (Texas Tech: 307.2 pass YPG allowed, ranks 133rd of 134 FBS teams)? This is a smash spot for Shadeur Sanders in what could be an absolute track meet on the scoreboard (62.5 O/U, COL -4.5). Sanders offers little in the way of rushing upside, and with collegiate scoring counting sack yardage against a QB’s rushing yards, he’s more likely to go negative than positive in that regard. Though, he has punched in three rushing scores this season, which is a nice plus. But we’re here for what Sanders should be able to accomplish with his arm on Saturday… which should be upwards of 400 yards passing and three… four… maybe five TDs.

 

RB Darius Taylor, MINN | $8,700 | at RU

Darius Taylor steps in as the most expensive RB on the slate, but $8,700 still feels like a generous price tag. The dynamic RB has been active both as a runner (15.8 rushes/gm, 80.5 rush YPG) and a receiver (5.4 receptions/gm, 39.4 rec. YPG), and he’s brought in 32 receptions in his last five games alone. If you could put a healthy Christian McCaffrey back in college ball, he’d likely be posting similar stat lines to what Darius Taylor has been putting up this season. This game doesn’t own a sexy total (46.5 O/U) but Minnesota is a 5.5-point road favorite and Taylor is going to be featured no matter what the score is… pending a surprise Rutgers blowout script. It’s also a stellar match-up as Rutgers has bled a whopping 46.3 FPPG to opposing RBs L4Games, and they’re giving it up to RBs on the ground (149.3 rush YPG), and through the air (6.3 rec/gm, 71.0 rec. YPG) in that span.

 

RB Phil Mafah, CLEM | $6,500 | at VT

I’m not sure what’s holding DraftKings back from pinning an $8k+ salary on Mafah -- for reference, he’s up to $10,000 on FanDuel -- but we’ll take the discount at $6,500 even if he’ll continue to be fairly popular. Over the last four games, Mafah is averaging 25.0 touches/gm for 142.3 total YPG and has scored six TDs. Whether or not QB Cade Klubnik struggles, as he did in last week’s embarrassing home loss to Louisville, Mafah is going to get a heavy dose of work on Saturday as Clemson looks to right the ship and get back into better favor of the College Football Playoff committee.

 

WR LaJohntay Wester, COL | $5,200 | at TTU

We have three fairly pricey core players spotlighted thus far, so we’ll save some salary at WR. If you can afford him, by all means, get exposure to Travis Hunter ($9,500), especially if you’re stacking with QB Shedeur Sanders. LaJohntay Wester steps in as a much more affordable option, whether you’re stacking with Sanders or not -- of course, we’re looking to assemble Colorado passing stacks since Sanders is the core QB play this week. Despite having 21 fewer receptions than Travis Hunter, Wester has brought in just one fewer touchdown reception on the season and he’s fully capable of a 100+ yard multi-touchdown performance on Saturday — simply scroll back through his 2023 game logs to see what sort of ceiling he has in this offense. Outside of Hunter and Wester, Will Sheppard ($3,800) is another Colorado WR I’d be looking to get in with Shedeur Sanders stacks -- he posted a dud in the previous game but had recently found his footing in the offense, posting at least 15.4 DKFP in three consecutive games prior to week nine.

 

WR Bryant Wesco Jr., CLEM | $3,100 | at VT

One of the ultimate salary savers on this slate looks to be Clemson freshman Bryant Wesco Jr. Wesco missed a couple of games before he returned last week and commanded 12 targets. It wasn’t a massive day, as he caught seven of those 12 targets for just 53 yards, but he has proven to be a big-play threat in this offense, leading all Clemson receivers with a 17.5-yard per catch average. At $100 above the stone minimum, we don’t need much out of Wesco in this spot and he’ll allow us to fit in some of the stud plays mentioned in this newsletter and shown on the cheat sheet below.

DraftKings Week 11 CFB Cheat Sheet 📝

Click the cheat sheet above to view a higher quality direct image.

Cheat Sheet QR Code

Best of luck on Saturday!